(online<<) Today: Brewers vs Cubs live online 30 August 2023
Their BABIP for the last two weeks is still around 30 points lower than their. 306 BABIP for the season, and we've already seen some luck turn back around in their favor in recent games. Chicago remains a very disciplined team at the dish with just a 19. 3% strikeout rate over the last two weeks, though Miley is a strike-thrower. Brewers vs. CubsBetting Pick & PredictionThe Cubs' offense is trending upwards once again, and I think against a pitch-to-contact lefty they should have continued success on Monday. Chicago ranks ninth in ground ball rate this year and is one of the best teams in baseball at converting them into hits which should put them in a good position against Miley. On the other side of the coin, Milwaukee is an extreme ground ball team at 44.
With that said, the right-hander did post a 46. 7% ground ball rate in his last start against the Tigers. It was his best performance in that regard in six starts, so even though he allowed four earned runs over 5 2/3 innings I think there are some positives to take away. His expected batting average was at just. 224 and he was victimized by a Kerry Carpenter grand slam in the sixth. He'd pitched very well up until that point. Offensively, I like the Cubs in this spot. Not only are they rocking a 103 wRC+ against lefties this year, but they're due for some more positive regression.
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Can the Cubs begin to gain some ground here on Monday? Let's break it down in our Brewers vs Cubs preview and prediction. The ultimate sports betting cheat codeOur model's biggest weekly edgesProfitable data-driven system picksCheck out our MLB Betting Hub for more previews from today's slate. The Brewers will hand the ball to Wade Miley here in the midst of what's been a solid month of August. In four starts he's pitched to a 3. 60 ERA, allowing just three home runs and keeping the Brewers in most games he's pitched in.
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6% strikeout rate — seven points lower than the Brewers' normal rate — and a quite extreme 11. 3% walk rate. The Brewers' Isolated Power stands at just. 148, so they've really done very little when the ball has come back into play. Speaking of ground balls, Jameson Taillon has been giving up an uncharacteristic number of fly balls this year. His ground ball rate is all the way down to 36. 2%, and that's what has finally caused his expected numbers to shoot up. Taillon's still posting similar numbers in the hard-hit and strikeout departments, but a slight uptick in walks and a totally different batted ball profile have changed the veteran's identity.
How to Watch the Brewers vs. Cubs Game: Streaming & TV